FX TERMINAL · INSIGHTS
The FX Terminal blog turns the terminal's live data into plain-English analysis: guides to reading the COT report, currency strength, central-bank policy, bond yields and the economic calendar, plus practical routines for trading the forex majors.
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an economic release is only informative relative to what was expected. Payrolls of +150,000 is a strong number after a forecast of +80,000 and a disaster after a forecast of +250,000. The…
you cannot chart the euro. You can only chart EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/GBP and so on — every one of which is contaminated by whatever the other currency is doing. To get a technical read on a…
the "78% chance of a hold" you see quoted before every FOMC meeting is not a survey, a forecast or an opinion. It is backed out of the price of 30-day Federal Funds futures — CME contracts that…
if you want one number that explains USD/JPY better than any indicator, it is the US 2-year Treasury yield minus the Japanese 2-year JGB yield. As of 14 August 2026 that spread stands at +251…
you can build, test and analyse a forex strategy without writing code, installing MetaTrader or paying for a data subscription. The forex strategy backtester runs entirely in the browser against…
the CFTC's Commitments of Traders report is published per futures contract, not per currency pair. There is a Euro FX contract, a British Pound contract and a Japanese Yen contract. There is no…
a simple, widely-taught CPI news strategy — score the inflation release against forecast, buy the dollar on a hot print, sell it on a cool one — returned +$226 with a 77.6% win rate and a profit…
across five years of data, a US Non-Farm Payrolls release moves EUR/USD an average of 48 pips within 30 minutes and 63 pips within four hours, measured as maximum excursion from the release price.…
A complete, beginner-friendly guide to the RSI indicator (Relative Strength Index): what RSI is, how it is calculated, how to read overbought and oversold levels, the best RSI settings for forex, and four practical RSI trading strategies with clear rules.
Discover the best forex pairs to trade in 2026. Compare major, minor and exotic currency pairs by liquidity, spreads, volatility and trading sessions, and learn how to build a focused watchlist.
A practical guide to reading the COT report (Commitment of Traders). Learn who commercials and non-commercials are, how to track smart-money positioning, and how to use CFTC data as a forex sentiment indicator.
Understand forex currency correlation: what positive and negative correlation mean, how to read a correlation matrix, which pairs move together, and how to manage risk across correlated currency pairs.
Learn how to trade the forex economic calendar. Understand high-impact events like NFP, CPI and interest rate decisions, the actual-vs-forecast gap, and safe strategies for news trading.
A complete guide to the MACD indicator (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): the MACD line, signal line and histogram, crossovers, divergence, best settings, and four MACD trading strategies for forex.
A clear guide to moving averages in forex: SMA vs EMA, the best moving average settings, crossover strategies like the golden cross, and how to use MAs as dynamic support and resistance.
A complete guide to Bollinger Bands: the middle, upper and lower bands, the squeeze, band walks, the best settings, and Bollinger Band trading strategies for volatility and mean reversion in forex.
A practical guide to Fibonacci retracement in forex: the key 38.2%, 50% and 61.8% levels, the golden pocket, how to draw the tool correctly, extensions for targets, and a Fibonacci trading strategy.
Learn what fundamental analysis means in forex, how it differs from technical analysis, and a simple framework for reading the core drivers of currencies.
A candid comparison of fundamental and technical analysis in forex, their strengths, time horizons, and why most traders end up blending both.
A practical guide to the eight major forex currencies, the central banks behind them, and the data and themes that move each one.
A plain-English guide to how central bank rates, real yields, and rate expectations drive currency pairs, with practical forex examples.
Learn how relative currency strength drives trends, how to pair strong against weak, and why some forex pairs trend while others chop sideways.
Learn how risk-on and risk-off sentiment moves currencies, which pairs benefit in each regime, and practical ways to read the mood of the market.
A practical guide to trading Fed, ECB, BoE and BoJ rate decisions: how meetings work, why surprises move markets, and pre/post-event tactics.
Learn to parse central bank statement language, spot word changes versus prior meetings, and translate hawkish or dovish tone into a currency bias.
Forward guidance is how central banks signal future rate moves. Learn its forms, why expectations drive currencies, and how it shows up in the market.
Why a rate hike can sink a currency and a cut can lift it — how pricing-in, hawkish cuts, and dovish hikes shape the real market reaction.
Learn what hawkish and dovish really mean, plus a plain-English glossary of central-bank jargon every forex trader needs to read policy tone.
How the forex carry trade earns interest from rate differentials, which pairs suit it, why it unwinds violently in risk-off markets, and how to manage the risk.
How central-bank balance-sheet expansion (QE) and contraction (QT) move currency supply, yields, and exchange rates for pairs like EUR/USD and USD/JPY.
A practical guide to the top economic indicators that move currencies, why some matter more than others, and how to read an economic calendar.
A practical guide to trading CPI inflation releases: what the data measures, why it moves rate expectations, and how to plan entries with risk controls.
A practical guide to the Non-Farm Payrolls report: its key components, the whisper number, volatility spikes, and how to trade the release without getting burned.
How GDP reports are built, why advance/final revisions matter, and the specific conditions under which a growth surprise actually moves currency pairs.
Learn how manufacturing and services PMIs work, why the 50 line matters, and how forex traders read PMI surprises for currency direction.
Learn how jobs reports, wage growth and unemployment shape central bank rate decisions and move major forex pairs like EUR/USD and USD/JPY.
How trade balances, current accounts, and capital flows shape long-term currency valuation, and what surplus and deficit nations mean for FX traders.
Beyond headline CPI and jobs, retail sales, PCE, and PPI quietly shape rate expectations. Here is how each feeds the policy picture that moves FX.
Learn what the CFTC Commitment of Traders report shows, how to read commercial vs large-spec positioning, and how to use extremes as a contrarian FX tool.
How crowded institutional positioning and sentiment extremes flag currency reversals, and how to combine COT data with price to build a bias.
Sovereign bond yields are one of the clearest drivers of currency moves. Here is how to read 2yr vs 10yr yields and real rates for an FX edge.
How to track yield spreads between two economies, read their correlation with a currency pair, and turn divergences into a repeatable trading workflow.
Learn how retail long/short ratios can act as a contrarian filter, why the crowd often gets extremes wrong, and the caveats every trader should respect.
A practical five-step framework for building a fundamental forex strategy: pick a theme, rank currencies, choose a pair, time entries, and manage risk.
Learn how to use fundamentals for market bias and technicals for entry timing, with a practical confluence checklist and a worked forex example.
A practical guide to backtesting event-driven forex strategies around CPI releases, including rule design, common pitfalls, and how to read your results honestly.
The Dollar Smile explains why the USD can rally in a market panic and in a booming US economy, but weaken in between. Here is how to trade it.
Why the Aussie, Loonie, and Norwegian krone move with iron ore and oil, how to measure the correlation, and how to trade the commodity-FX link.
A practical weekly routine for using the economic calendar to flag high-impact events, plan trades around them, and avoid surprise volatility.
Why the yen, Swiss franc, and gold attract capital during market stress, the mechanics behind the flows, and how to position for risk-off events.
A framework for reading Fed, ECB, and BoJ policy in 2026, why divergence drives currency pairs, and the data points worth watching.
How inverted yield curves, falling PMIs and widening credit spreads warn of recession, and how major currency pairs typically behave.
How wars, elections, trade disputes and sanctions drive FX through risk sentiment and safe-haven flows, and how to trade or avoid headline risk.
A complete guide to the stochastic oscillator: the %K and %D lines, overbought and oversold levels, crossovers and divergence, the best settings, and how to trade the stochastic in forex.
Master support and resistance in forex: what they are and why they work, how to identify strong levels, trading bounces and breakouts, role reversal, and how to avoid false breakouts.
The blog turns the data in FX Terminal into plain-English explanation: how to read the COT report, what currency strength really measures, how central bank guidance repricing works, why bond yield spreads lead exchange rates, and how to build a trading routine around the economic calendar.
Articles are written for traders who want to understand the mechanism, not just the signal — each one connects back to the live module in the terminal where you can apply it immediately.
FX Terminal provides free market research and analysis for informational purposes only. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to trade. Trading forex carries a high level of risk.